Will Javier Milei be able to reverse the electoral scenario from last Sunday, the 22nd, and defeat Sergio Massa in the second round of Argentina’s presidential elections? According to Anne Dias in Crusoé, two factors are essential for this to happen.
“The first is already happening: the alliance of the right against the Peronist current, which was solidified with Patricia Bullrich’s endorsement. Bullrich, who finished third in the first round and represents the Macri government, is supporting the libertarian candidate. The second, and more challenging factor, depends on Milei’s campaign strategy: he needs to move his discourse more towards the center and seek moderation in his policies so that more Argentinians feel represented in this coalition. These two options face significant obstacles.”
“Looking back briefly, the first round ended contrary to pre-election polls, with Sergio Massa, the Economy Minister of the current president Alberto Fernández, coming in first with 36.68%. Javier Milei, the major newcomer in these elections due to his libertarian discourse, despite leading in the primaries, finished second with 29.99%. In third place was center-right candidate Patricia Bullrich, representing the Macri government, who obtained around 24% of the votes.”